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Testicular cancer rise in the US

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  • Testicular cancer rise in the US

    I was bored last night and put together a graph of testicular cancer cases and related deaths in the US (only data I could find easily) and US population. I was hoping to see if I could find some kind of trend in the population growth and testicular cases. Or even physically see a decline in deaths.

    Link To Graph

    The data I took was from the ACS website and the census bureau. Now this data is not perfect and I did not take in to account that the ACS changed the way they count cases and deaths after 2003. The data is from 1997 - 2006.

    Here is what I have found with the slopes of each listed bellow.

    The number of TC cases in the US is not rising with the same slope as the population (actually greater) which suggest that whatever is causing TC is getting worse. The mortality rate has a negative slope which is good. This indicates that less people are dieing from TC. The percent of the US with TC is slowly rising, but this was suspected from the number of TC cases slope being greater than the population slope.

    Population growth = 0.0122
    TC cases = .0.153
    TC related deaths = 0.0108
    % mortality rate = (-)0.0042
    % population with TC = 0.0042

    Anyway I was bored and this is how I spent my time. I thought you might think it was interesting.
    08/28/07: Diagnosed Stage 1A nonseminoma (65% teratoma (mature and immature), 10% embyonal carcinoma, 25% yolk sac); AFP: 120 ng/ml HCG: 6.8 IU/L
    09/05/07: Right I/O; Clean CT
    09/13/07: AFP: 41 ng/ml HCG: 0.5 IU/L
    09/26/07: AFP: 12 ng/ml HCG: <2
    10/22/07: AFP: 2.2 ng/ml HCG: <2
    Surveillance All Clears: 11/09/07; 04/20/08;

  • #2
    I wonder if these increases in TC match the slope of increase in cancer (other forms) across the board? If all cancers are increasing by these same amounts, or if TC is increasing more than others.

    Gosh Physast, when I get board I eat Ben and Jerry's...you make awesome graphs, I am impressed with you!
    Co-survivor with husband Boyce, Diagnosed 7-11-06, orchiectomy right testicle on 7-12-06- Stage 3A: Mixed germ cell tumor with inguinal seminomatous and kartotypic carcinoma. One tumor over 10 cm, second tumor 4 cm, Chemo 4xBEP: Bi-lateral RPLND Dec 2006, nerve sparing but left sterile.
    Current DVT
    Current testosterone replacement therapy, Testim.

    "You must abandon the life you planned, to live the life that was meant for you" ~wisdom I have learned from my family on this forum

    Comment


    • #3
      Good Point.. I have also updated the slope data to include 2007 and total cancer cases..

      TC cases are rising at about the same slope as total cancer cases.

      Population growth = 0.0166
      TC cases = .0127
      TC related deaths = 0.0095
      % mortality rate = (-)0.0032
      % population with TC = 0.0022
      Total cancer cases = 0.0114

      Again this data has not been corrected for the ACS changing the way they estimate these numbers so a direct correlation can not be concluded here. This is just for fun.
      08/28/07: Diagnosed Stage 1A nonseminoma (65% teratoma (mature and immature), 10% embyonal carcinoma, 25% yolk sac); AFP: 120 ng/ml HCG: 6.8 IU/L
      09/05/07: Right I/O; Clean CT
      09/13/07: AFP: 41 ng/ml HCG: 0.5 IU/L
      09/26/07: AFP: 12 ng/ml HCG: <2
      10/22/07: AFP: 2.2 ng/ml HCG: <2
      Surveillance All Clears: 11/09/07; 04/20/08;

      Comment


      • #4
        Physast:
        The graphs are great but when you come to Slaon Nancy and I are taking you out for Ben & Jerry's. Thanks Margaret I've been looking for a reason to indulge.
        Son Jason diagnosed 4/30/04, stage III. Right I/O 4/30/04. Graduated College 5/13/04. 4XEP 6/7/04 - 8/13/04. Full open RPLND 10/13/04. All Clear since.

        Treated by Dr. Rakowski of Midland Park, NJ. Visited Sloan Kettering for protocol advice. RPLND done at Sloan Kettering.

        Comment


        • #5
          The graphs are great but when you come to Slaon Nancy and I are taking you out for Ben & Jerry's.
          I think that is exactly what I need..
          08/28/07: Diagnosed Stage 1A nonseminoma (65% teratoma (mature and immature), 10% embyonal carcinoma, 25% yolk sac); AFP: 120 ng/ml HCG: 6.8 IU/L
          09/05/07: Right I/O; Clean CT
          09/13/07: AFP: 41 ng/ml HCG: 0.5 IU/L
          09/26/07: AFP: 12 ng/ml HCG: <2
          10/22/07: AFP: 2.2 ng/ml HCG: <2
          Surveillance All Clears: 11/09/07; 04/20/08;

          Comment

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